Title:

The receptive versus current risks of Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Northern Namibia: implications for elimination

Publication Year:
2013
Abstract:

Countries aiming for malaria elimination need to define their malariogenic potential, of which measures of both receptive and current transmission are major components. As Namibia pursues malaria elimination, the importation risks due to cross-border human population movements with higher risk neighboring countries has been identified as a major challenge. Here we used historical and contemporary Plasmodium falciparum prevalence data for Namibia to estimate receptive and current levels of malaria risk in nine northern regions. We explore the potential of these risk maps to support decision-making for malaria elimination in Namibia. The comparison of receptive and current malaria risks in the northern regions of Namibia show health districts that are most at risk of importation due to their proximity to the relatively higher transmission northern neighbouring countries, higher population and modeled receptivity. These health districts should be prioritized as the cross-border control initiatives are rolled out.

Publication Title:

BMC Infectious Diseases

Volume:
13
Pages:
184
Item Type:
Journal Article
Language:
en
Files:
Attachment Size
Malaria northern Namibia_2013.pdf 656.9 KB